San Bernardino County coronavirus metrics showing improvement

San Bernardino County coronavirus metrics showing improvement

The three key metrics state officials use to determine whether San Bernardino and other counties can reopen more businesses amid the coronavirus pandemic are the strongest they have been since early December, data released Tuesday, Feb. 9, show.

The county’s adjusted case rate for the week ending Jan. 30 — 32.7 — was nearly half the total for the week ending Jan. 16. Meanwhile, the county’s 10.6% overall positivity rate and 12% health equity rate, or positivity rate in socioeconomically disadvantaged communities, also mark recent lows.

While San Bernardino County remains in the most-restrictive purple tier, meaning there is widespread risk of transmission, it has seen improvement in all three figures the past four weeks.

To advance on the state’s color-coded tier system, a county needs two consecutive weeks of a seven-day adjusted case rate between four and seven daily new cases per 100,000 residents, a positivity rate between 5% and 8% and a health equity rate between 5.3% and 8%.

Meeting these benchmarks would move the county from the purple tier to the red, or substantial risk, tier.

More businesses could reopen as a result.

Hospitalizations also continue to trend downward in San Bernardino County, as local hospitals reported having 802 cumulative COVID-19 patients as of Monday, Feb. 8.

Hospitalizations have declined every day since Jan. 12, figures show.

Here are the latest numbers, according to county and state public health officials.

San Bernardino County

Confirmed cases: 279,412 total, up 610 from Monday, averaging 577 reported per day in the past week

Deaths: 2,142 total, up one from Monday, averaging 32.1 reported per day in the past week

Hospital survey: 802 confirmed and 67 suspected patients hospitalized Monday, including 205 confirmed and 12 suspected patients in the ICU, with 22 of 25 facilities reporting. The number of confirmed patients is down 21.1% from a week earlier.

Tests: 2,303,383 total, up 6,480 from Monday, averaging 10,372 reported per day in the past week

Resolved cases (estimate): 272,165 total, up 841 from Monday, averaging 715 per day in the past week

Vaccinations: The county has been allocated 169,375 doses as of Friday, Jan. 29 and is not saying how many doses have been administered.

Reopening plan tier: Purple (widespread risk level; many nonessential indoor business operations are closed) based on these metrics as of Tuesday:

New cases per day per 100,000 residents: 33.2

Case rate adjusted for testing volume: 32.7

Test positivity rate: 10.6% (12.0% in socioeconomically disadvantaged neighborhoods)

What’s next: To advance to the red tier and reopen more businesses, San Bernardino County would need an adjusted case rate of 7.0 or below and both positivity rates below 8.0% for two consecutive weeks.

To see a map and list of cases, deaths and per-capita rates by community, click here.

PUBLISHED: February 9, 2021 at 2:28 p.m. | UPDATED: February 9, 2021 at 2:32 p.m.


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