In another sign San Bernardino County is turning the corner in its war against the coronavirus, there are indications that fewer county residents may be sick with COVID-19 or at risk of spreading the disease than at any time since June.
The county began putting out an estimated number of “resolved cases” at the beginning of June.
As of Thursday, April 1, officials reported that, of the 291,022 COVID-19 cases confirmed in the county since the pandemic began, 285,817 cases have been resolved. The resolved-cases figure is an estimate of how many people have recovered after being infected with the virus, county spokesman David Wert said.
With another 4,036 residents having died, that leaves 1,169 cases unresolved — people who are more likely to still be ill or contagious. The day before — Wednesday, March 31 — the total of 1,149 unresolved cases was the lowest ever reported.
The previous low was 1,280 unresolved cases on Sept. 22. The number of unresolved cases has been below 1,280 since March 24.
By contrast, when the winter surge was at its worst, the number briefly topped 30,000 unresolved cases in late December.
While not a precise measure, the number is an indicator of the relative prevalence of the virus in San Bernardino County communities.
The county defines a case as resolved if a person has not died and it has been more than 10 days since the person tested positive for COVID-19 or began having symptoms. The statistic does not account for people who were sickened by the virus but weren’t tested.
Here are the latest numbers as of Thursday, according to county and state public health officials.
San Bernardino County
Confirmed cases: 291,022 total, up 68 from Wednesday, averaging 124 reported per day in the past week
Deaths: 4,036 total, up 25 from Wednesday, averaging 33.3 reported per day in the past week
Hospital survey: 118 confirmed and 18 suspected patients hospitalized Wednesday, including 30 confirmed and two suspected patients in the ICU, with 24 of 25 facilities reporting. The number of confirmed patients is down 18.1% from a week earlier.
Tests: 2,708,296 total, up 7,367 from Wednesday, averaging 6,842 reported per day in the past week
Resolved cases (estimate): 285,817 total, up 23 from Wednesday, averaging 110 per day in the past week
Vaccinations: San Bernardino County residents have received 718,463 vaccine doses, with 209,686 people partially vaccinated and 259,508 people fully vaccinated, as of Wednesday
Reopening plan tier: Red (substantial risk level; some nonessential indoor business operations are closed) based on these metrics as of Tuesday:
New cases per day per 100,000 residents: 3.8
Case rate adjusted for testing volume: 3.8
Test positivity rate: 2.1% (2.2% in socioeconomically disadvantaged neighborhoods)
What’s next: To advance to the orange tier and reopen more businesses, San Bernardino County would need an adjusted case rate below 4.0 and a positivity rate below 5.0% for the whole county and 5.3% in disadvantaged neighborhoods for two consecutive weeks, and to have been in the red tier for three weeks. If metrics get worse, it could move back into the more restrictive purple tier.
To see a map and list of cases, deaths and vaccinations by community, click here.By DAVID DOWNEY | email@example.com and NIKIE JOHNSON | firstname.lastname@example.org | The Press-Enterprise
PUBLISHED: April 1, 2021 at 4:04 p.m. | UPDATED: April 1, 2021 at 7:00 p.m.